Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.296296 0.345796 0.398159 0.457403 0.522296 0.590954 0.668823
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.226328 0.293296 0.368850 0.459305 0.563575 0.678980 0.815335
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.168827 0.243704 0.333772 0.447489 0.584690 0.742505 0.935356
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.136666 0.218241 0.322226 0.459636 0.631745 0.835836 1.091757
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.104564 0.186739 0.298191 0.452455 0.652866 0.897459 1.211544
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.089051 0.174989 0.297676 0.473810 0.709083 1.002405 1.385596
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.070873 0.155607 0.283734 0.475035 0.738060 1.073147 1.518462
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.056590 0.139296 0.271706 0.476901 0.766628 1.142968 1.650726
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.047296 0.129422 0.267786 0.489159 0.808720 1.230444 1.806390
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.040446 0.122463 0.267311 0.505728 0.856574 1.325888 1.973430
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034597 0.116081 0.266798 0.521643 0.903404 1.420420 2.140413
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.026864 0.103555 0.254182 0.517585 0.920837 1.475119 2.255536
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021651 0.095448 0.248659 0.524690 0.955298 1.554701 2.406488
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015993 0.084070 0.235519 0.518258 0.969090 1.605780 2.520076
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010671 0.070835 0.216633 0.500449 0.964445 1.630424 2.597920
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008428 0.066151 0.214293 0.510503 1.002372 1.715417 2.758607
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.005598 0.057257 0.201504 0.500995 1.009074 1.755602 2.858133
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004765 0.056194 0.206000 0.522738 1.065541 1.868121 3.058629
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.003300 0.050723 0.199369 0.523377 1.087977 1.931390 3.191360
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002227 0.045954 0.193566 0.524966 1.111657 1.996537 3.327191
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001660 0.043687 0.193699 0.537790 1.153862 2.089383 3.502700
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001292 0.042420 0.196240 0.555292 1.204014 2.194464 3.696267
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000983 0.041108 0.198453 0.572140 1.253320 2.298808 3.889695